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Rank   Team Record   Change   Comment
1 Jordan Spieth Jordan Spieth -
▲ 1
Jordan’s caddie, Michael Greller, knows the course better than anyone else in the field. Spieth shot 83 in the Amateur in 2010 there, but he was only 17. Not many great putters on the list of recent US Open winners.
2 Justin Rose Justin Rose -
▲ 1
Always on the short list of tee-to-green best players. One win and four missed cuts in nine US Open starts. Number two in fairways hit at Merion in the win.
3 Rory McIlroy Rory McIlroy -
▼ 2
Needed time off after two missed cuts and two tossed clubs in May. Can dominate the generous fairways at Chambers Bay. Still needs to prove he can win a major on a firm fast course.
4 Jim Furyk Jim Furyk -
▲ 5
Born-again winner after Hilton Head. What he cedes to the field off the tee he can recoup with exceptional iron play. If he makes putts early, he will contend on Sunday.
5 Rickie Fowler Rickie Fowler -
▲ 20
Did The Players put him on a new level? Rickie admits to caring only about majors. Last golfer to win The Players and the US Open in the same year -- Martin Kaymer 2014.
6 Dustin Johnson Dustin Johnson -
▼ 2
New ethic, new body, same wedge game. Can work the ball on quirky Jones III layout. Last year’s T4 was only his second US Open top 10.
7 Bubba Watson Bubba Watson -
▼ 2
Best layout fit for Watson in his career. Can work the ball both ways. Has never been in the top 30 in fairways at a US Open.
8 Patrick Reed Patrick Reed -
▲ 3
Only his second US Open -- T35 in 2014. Chambers Bay can punish his green-attacking style. Shot 68 in the Amateur at Chambers Bay in 2010. Needs to avoid the blowup round.
9 Brandt Snedeker Brandt Snedeker -
▼ 9
A final-day grouping with Spieth would be a putting seminar. Driver has hurt him in past Opens. Seattle expected to be more forgiving.
10 Adam Scott Adam Scott -
▼ 4
Can usually match Rose in tee-to-green excellence. Six missed Open cuts and never cracked the top 30 in putting in the ones he completed.
11 Phil Mickelson Phil Mickelson -
▲ 10
Six runner-up finishes in the US Open. Finished second in his last two majors. Has convinced himself that Chambers Bay is an American version of Muirfield
12 Jimmy Walker Jimmy Walker -
▼ 4
Most consistent winner on Tour without a major on his resume. Twelve years between Open starts last year -- T9. Doesn’t suffer local knowledge disadvantage to experienced players in the field.
13 Martin Kaymer Martin Kaymer -
▼ 1
Like locusts he only wins majors after long hiatus. 2014 means it might be too soon. Avoided chipping like the plague at Pinehurst. Can’t do the same at Chambers Bay.
14 Henrik Stenson Henrik Stenson -
▼ 7
T4 at Pinehurst. Only one other top 10 in eight starts. The US Open has been his weakest major.
15 Hideki Matsuyama Hideki Matsuyama -
▼ 15
Hasn’t been out of the top 25 on Tour since February. Three major top 10s in last eight starts, including T10 at Merion. Still only 23.
16 Ryan Moore Ryan Moore -
▲ 4
Chambers Bay is in his boyhood neighborhood. Knows the course. Does he know US Open pressure? Four MC in eight starts.
17 Chris Kirk Chris Kirk -
▼ 17
Last year’s T28 was his best US Open showing. Top 30 in three of last year’s four majors. A win and T8 in Texas in 2015. The Open is in the Northwest.
18 Byeong-Hun An Byeong-Hun An -
▼ 18
BMW win validates early amateur success. Semifinalist at 2010 Amateur. Only his second major appearance.
19 Sergio Garcia Sergio Garcia -
▼ 3
Nearing Westwood/Montgomery territory for majors without a win. Merion US Open setups beat Sergio up. Linksy Chambers Bay may not.
20 Billy Horschel Billy Horschel -
▼ 1
Starting to revive from hangover from FedEx run a year ago. Was in it til the end at Merion. Starting 75 killed his chance at Pinehurst.
21 Jason Day Jason Day -
▼ 11
Seven top 10s in 18 major appearances. T4 a year ago at Pinehurst. Win in San Diego shows he’s healthy again.
22 Charley Hoffman Charley Hoffman -
▼ 22
PGA Championship probably a better major fit for Hoffman. Eight top 15s in 2015 season means he’s dangerous. T9 at Augusta. Never cracked the top 40 at the US Open.
23 Kevin Kisner Kevin Kisner -
▼ 23
Missed the cut in his only major the US Open at Pinehurst. Would be a Webb Simpson kind of US Open story after close calls at Heritage and Players.
24 Keegan Bradley Keegan Bradley -
▼ 7
Quietly T4 at Pinehurst. Four top 10s in 2015 season, including T8 at Memorial. Belongs in the Tour ‘Bomber Squadron.’ Transitioning from long putter.
25 Francesco Molinari Francesco Molinari -
▼ 25
If he can find fairways in Seattle like he did in Columbus, he will be a factor. T23 at Pinehurst. Putting has held him back in every US Open start.

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* Power Rankings updated monthly.